The Effects of Industrial Production, Gold Prices and Oil Prices on Turkish Stock Market
This paper aims to investigate the asymmetric effects of industrial production, gold prices and oil prices on Turkish stock market returns by employing nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The monthly data are used for the period from 2003:01 to 2018:08. The empirical findings indicate that the industrial production and gold prices have asymmetrical effects on Turkish stock returns. However, the findings of this study imply that oil prices doesn’t have any asymmetrical effects on Turkish stock returns. The empirical results support the evidence of the significant relation between industrial production, gold prices and stock returns in Turkey. Empirical findings suggest that gold plays important role for portfolio decisions for investors.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Stock market, Oil prices, Gold prices, Non-linear ARDL
The Effects of Industrial Production, Gold Prices and Oil Prices on Turkish Stock Market
This paper aims to investigate the asymmetric effects of industrial production, gold prices and oil prices on Turkish stock market returns by employing nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The monthly data are used for the period from 2003:01 to 2018:08. The empirical findings indicate that the industrial production and gold prices have asymmetrical effects on Turkish stock returns. However, the findings of this study imply that oil prices doesn’t have any asymmetrical effects on Turkish stock returns. The empirical results support the evidence of the significant relation between industrial production, gold prices and stock returns in Turkey. Empirical findings suggest that gold plays important role for portfolio decisions for investors.
Keywords: Stock market, Oil prices, Gold prices, Non-linear ARDL